Correlation Between Novartis and AbbVie

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Novartis and AbbVie at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Novartis and AbbVie into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Novartis AG ADR and AbbVie Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Novartis and AbbVie and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Novartis with a short position of AbbVie. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Novartis and AbbVie.

Diversification Opportunities for Novartis and AbbVie

0.63

Correlation Coefficient

Novartis  AbbVie

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Novartis and AbbVie is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novartis AG ADR and AbbVie Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on AbbVie Inc and Novartis is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Novartis AG ADR are associated (or correlated) with AbbVie. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of AbbVie Inc has no effect on the direction of Novartis i.e., Novartis and AbbVie go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Novartis and AbbVie

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Novartis AG ADR is expected to under-perform the AbbVie. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Novartis AG ADR is 2.09 times less risky than AbbVie. The stock trades about -0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The AbbVie Inc is currently generating about -0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  19,474  in AbbVie Inc on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,166) from holding AbbVie Inc or give up 5.99% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Novartis AG ADR  vs.  AbbVie Inc

Novartis AG ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Novartis AG ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

AbbVie Inc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days AbbVie Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable fundamental drivers, AbbVie is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

Pair Trading with Novartis and AbbVie

The main advantage of trading using opposite Novartis and AbbVie positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Novartis position performs unexpectedly, AbbVie can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AbbVie will offset losses from the drop in AbbVie's long position.

The idea behind Novartis AG ADR and AbbVie Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.