Correlation Between Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Novartis AG and Bristol Myers Squibb, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Novartis with a short position of Bristol-Myers Squibb. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb.

Diversification Opportunities for Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb

-0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Novartis and Bristol-Myers is -0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novartis AG and Bristol Myers Squibb in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bristol Myers Squibb and Novartis is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Novartis AG are associated (or correlated) with Bristol-Myers Squibb. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bristol Myers Squibb has no effect on the direction of Novartis i.e., Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb

Assuming the 90 days horizon Novartis AG is expected to under-perform the Bristol-Myers Squibb. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Novartis AG is 1.48 times less risky than Bristol-Myers Squibb. The pink sheet trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Bristol Myers Squibb is currently generating about 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  80,055  in Bristol Myers Squibb on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20,500  from holding Bristol Myers Squibb or generate 25.61% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.31%
ValuesDaily Returns

Novartis AG  vs.  Bristol Myers Squibb

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Novartis AG 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Novartis AG has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
Bristol Myers Squibb 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bristol Myers Squibb are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile primary indicators, Bristol-Myers Squibb reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb

The main advantage of trading using opposite Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Novartis position performs unexpectedly, Bristol-Myers Squibb can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bristol-Myers Squibb will offset losses from the drop in Bristol-Myers Squibb's long position.
The idea behind Novartis AG and Bristol Myers Squibb pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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