Correlation Between Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Republic International and Cincinnati Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Republic with a short position of Cincinnati Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Cincinnati is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Republic International and Cincinnati Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cincinnati Financial and Old Republic is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Republic International are associated (or correlated) with Cincinnati Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cincinnati Financial has no effect on the direction of Old Republic i.e., Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Old Republic is expected to generate 1.48 times less return on investment than Cincinnati Financial. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Old Republic International is 1.13 times less risky than Cincinnati Financial. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cincinnati Financial is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,085  in Cincinnati Financial on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,214  from holding Cincinnati Financial or generate 41.78% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Republic International  vs.  Cincinnati Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Republic Interna 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Republic International are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Old Republic is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
Cincinnati Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly abnormal basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Republic and Cincinnati Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Republic position performs unexpectedly, Cincinnati Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cincinnati Financial will offset losses from the drop in Cincinnati Financial's long position.
The idea behind Old Republic International and Cincinnati Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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