Correlation Between Old Second and Ohio Valley

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Old Second and Ohio Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Old Second and Ohio Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Old Second Bancorp and Ohio Valley Banc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Old Second and Ohio Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Old Second with a short position of Ohio Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Old Second and Ohio Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for Old Second and Ohio Valley

0.69
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Old and Ohio is 0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Old Second Bancorp and Ohio Valley Banc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ohio Valley Banc and Old Second is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Old Second Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Ohio Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ohio Valley Banc has no effect on the direction of Old Second i.e., Old Second and Ohio Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Old Second and Ohio Valley

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Second is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than Ohio Valley. In addition to that, Old Second is 1.02 times more volatile than Ohio Valley Banc. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ohio Valley Banc is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,446  in Ohio Valley Banc on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  272.00  from holding Ohio Valley Banc or generate 11.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Old Second Bancorp  vs.  Ohio Valley Banc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Old Second Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Ohio Valley Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ohio Valley Banc are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating fundamental drivers, Ohio Valley may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Old Second and Ohio Valley Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Old Second and Ohio Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite Old Second and Ohio Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Old Second position performs unexpectedly, Ohio Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ohio Valley will offset losses from the drop in Ohio Valley's long position.
The idea behind Old Second Bancorp and Ohio Valley Banc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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