Correlation Between PTT PCL and National Fuel

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both PTT PCL and National Fuel at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining PTT PCL and National Fuel into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between PTT PCL ADR and National Fuel Gas, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on PTT PCL and National Fuel and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in PTT PCL with a short position of National Fuel. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of PTT PCL and National Fuel.

Diversification Opportunities for PTT PCL and National Fuel

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between PTT and National is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PTT PCL ADR and National Fuel Gas in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Fuel Gas and PTT PCL is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on PTT PCL ADR are associated (or correlated) with National Fuel. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Fuel Gas has no effect on the direction of PTT PCL i.e., PTT PCL and National Fuel go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between PTT PCL and National Fuel

Assuming the 90 days horizon PTT PCL ADR is expected to under-perform the National Fuel. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, PTT PCL ADR is 1.05 times less risky than National Fuel. The pink sheet trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The National Fuel Gas is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,064  in National Fuel Gas on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  73.00  from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 1.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

PTT PCL ADR  vs.  National Fuel Gas

 Performance 
       Timeline  
PTT PCL ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PTT PCL ADR are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, PTT PCL may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
National Fuel Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

PTT PCL and National Fuel Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with PTT PCL and National Fuel

The main advantage of trading using opposite PTT PCL and National Fuel positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if PTT PCL position performs unexpectedly, National Fuel can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Fuel will offset losses from the drop in National Fuel's long position.
The idea behind PTT PCL ADR and National Fuel Gas pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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