Correlation Between ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraShort QQQ and ProShares Ultra Cloud, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraShort with a short position of ProShares Ultra. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

-0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and ProShares is -0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort QQQ and ProShares Ultra Cloud in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Ultra Cloud and ProShares UltraShort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraShort QQQ are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Ultra. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Ultra Cloud has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraShort i.e., ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort QQQ is expected to under-perform the ProShares Ultra. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ProShares UltraShort QQQ is 1.26 times less risky than ProShares Ultra. The etf trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ProShares Ultra Cloud is currently generating about 0.31 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,366  in ProShares Ultra Cloud on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,478  from holding ProShares Ultra Cloud or generate 62.47% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraShort QQQ  vs.  ProShares Ultra Cloud

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraShort QQQ 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort QQQ has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.
ProShares Ultra Cloud 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

24 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra Cloud are ranked lower than 24 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively abnormal basic indicators, ProShares Ultra unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Ultra can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Ultra will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Ultra's long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraShort QQQ and ProShares Ultra Cloud pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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