Correlation Between UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between UPM Kymmene Oyj and Harmony Gold Mining, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in UPM Kymmene with a short position of Harmony Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold

0.36

Correlation Coefficient

UPM Kymmene  Harmony Gold

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between UPM and Harmony is 0.36. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding UPM Kymmene Oyj and Harmony Gold Mining in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Harmony Gold Mining and UPM Kymmene is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on UPM Kymmene Oyj are associated (or correlated) with Harmony Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Harmony Gold Mining has no effect on the direction of UPM Kymmene i.e., UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold

Assuming the 90 days horizon UPM Kymmene Oyj is expected to under-perform the Harmony Gold. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, UPM Kymmene Oyj is 2.28 times less risky than Harmony Gold. The stock trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Harmony Gold Mining is currently generating about -0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  899.00  in Harmony Gold Mining on September 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (119.00) from holding Harmony Gold Mining or give up 13.24% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

UPM Kymmene Oyj  vs.  Harmony Gold Mining

UPM Kymmene Oyj

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days UPM Kymmene Oyj has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Harmony Gold Mining

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Harmony Gold Mining has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Pair Trading with UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite UPM Kymmene and Harmony Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if UPM Kymmene position performs unexpectedly, Harmony Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Harmony Gold will offset losses from the drop in Harmony Gold's long position.

The idea behind UPM Kymmene Oyj and Harmony Gold Mining pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.