Correlation Between Short Duration and Tax Exempt

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Short Duration and Tax Exempt at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Short Duration and Tax Exempt into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Short Duration Bond and Tax Exempt High Yield, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Short Duration and Tax Exempt and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Short Duration with a short position of Tax Exempt. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Short Duration and Tax Exempt.

Diversification Opportunities for Short Duration and Tax Exempt

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Short and Tax is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Short Duration Bond and Tax Exempt High Yield in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tax Exempt High and Short Duration is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Short Duration Bond are associated (or correlated) with Tax Exempt. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tax Exempt High has no effect on the direction of Short Duration i.e., Short Duration and Tax Exempt go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Short Duration and Tax Exempt

Assuming the 90 days horizon Short Duration Bond is expected to under-perform the Tax Exempt. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Short Duration Bond is 3.05 times less risky than Tax Exempt. The mutual fund trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Tax Exempt High Yield is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,000.00  in Tax Exempt High Yield on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding Tax Exempt High Yield or give up 0.1% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Short Duration Bond  vs.  Tax Exempt High Yield

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Short Duration Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Short Duration Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Short Duration is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Tax Exempt High 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tax Exempt High Yield has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Tax Exempt is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Short Duration and Tax Exempt Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Short Duration and Tax Exempt

The main advantage of trading using opposite Short Duration and Tax Exempt positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Short Duration position performs unexpectedly, Tax Exempt can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tax Exempt will offset losses from the drop in Tax Exempt's long position.
The idea behind Short Duration Bond and Tax Exempt High Yield pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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