Correlation Between TFI International and United Airlines

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both TFI International and United Airlines at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining TFI International and United Airlines into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between TFI International and United Airlines Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on TFI International and United Airlines and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in TFI International with a short position of United Airlines. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of TFI International and United Airlines.

Diversification Opportunities for TFI International and United Airlines

0.29

Correlation Coefficient

TFI International  United Airlines

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between TFI and United is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TFI International and United Airlines Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Airlines Holdings and TFI International is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on TFI International are associated (or correlated) with United Airlines. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Airlines Holdings has no effect on the direction of TFI International i.e., TFI International and United Airlines go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between TFI International and United Airlines

Given the investment horizon of 90 days TFI International is expected to generate 6.86 times less return on investment than United Airlines. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, TFI International is 1.56 times less risky than United Airlines. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. United Airlines Holdings is currently generating about 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,300  in United Airlines Holdings on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,279  from holding United Airlines Holdings or generate 80.74% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

TFI International  vs.  United Airlines Holdings

TFI International

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TFI International are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly conflicting forward indicators, TFI International may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

United Airlines Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

34 of 100

Very Strong

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Airlines Holdings are ranked lower than 34 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting basic indicators, United Airlines disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with TFI International and United Airlines

The main advantage of trading using opposite TFI International and United Airlines positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if TFI International position performs unexpectedly, United Airlines can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Airlines will offset losses from the drop in United Airlines' long position.

The idea behind TFI International and United Airlines Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.