Correlation Between Toll Brothers and DR Horton

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toll Brothers and DR Horton at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toll Brothers and DR Horton into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toll Brothers and DR Horton, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toll Brothers and DR Horton and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toll Brothers with a short position of DR Horton. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toll Brothers and DR Horton.

Diversification Opportunities for Toll Brothers and DR Horton

0.31

Correlation Coefficient

Toll Brothers  DR Horton

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toll and HO2 is 0.31. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toll Brothers and DR Horton in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on DR Horton and Toll Brothers is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toll Brothers are associated (or correlated) with DR Horton. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of DR Horton has no effect on the direction of Toll Brothers i.e., Toll Brothers and DR Horton go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toll Brothers and DR Horton

Assuming the 90 days horizon Toll Brothers is expected to generate 0.98 times more return on investment than DR Horton. However, Toll Brothers is 1.02 times less risky than DR Horton. It trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. DR Horton is currently generating about -0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  13,717  in Toll Brothers on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,672) from holding Toll Brothers or give up 12.19% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Toll Brothers  vs.  DR Horton

Toll Brothers

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Toll Brothers has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

DR Horton

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days DR Horton has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Pair Trading with Toll Brothers and DR Horton

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toll Brothers and DR Horton positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toll Brothers position performs unexpectedly, DR Horton can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in DR Horton will offset losses from the drop in DR Horton's long position.

The idea behind Toll Brothers and DR Horton pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.