Correlation Between Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and Arrow Managed Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate-term with a short position of Arrow Managed. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate-term and Arrow is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon and Arrow Managed Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arrow Managed Futures and Intermediate-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are associated (or correlated) with Arrow Managed. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arrow Managed Futures has no effect on the direction of Intermediate-term i.e., Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate-term is expected to generate 1.09 times less return on investment than Arrow Managed. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is 6.02 times less risky than Arrow Managed. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Arrow Managed Futures is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  557.00  in Arrow Managed Futures on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1.00  from holding Arrow Managed Futures or generate 0.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon  vs.  Arrow Managed Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Arrow Managed Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Arrow Managed Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Arrow Managed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate-term and Arrow Managed positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate-term position performs unexpectedly, Arrow Managed can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arrow Managed will offset losses from the drop in Arrow Managed's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and Arrow Managed Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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