Correlation Between Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Fund I and Emerging Markets Debt, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Fund with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets

-0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Emerging is -0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Fund I and Emerging Markets Debt in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Debt and Ultra Fund is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Fund I are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Debt has no effect on the direction of Ultra Fund i.e., Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra Fund I is expected to generate 3.38 times more return on investment than Emerging Markets. However, Ultra Fund is 3.38 times more volatile than Emerging Markets Debt. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Debt is currently generating about -0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,158  in Ultra Fund I on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (171.00) from holding Ultra Fund I or give up 1.68% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Fund I  vs.  Emerging Markets Debt

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Fund I 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Fund I are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Ultra Fund is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Emerging Markets Debt 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Debt has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Fund and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Fund position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.
The idea behind Ultra Fund I and Emerging Markets Debt pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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