Correlation Between Ternium SA and Gerdau SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ternium SA and Gerdau SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ternium SA and Gerdau SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ternium SA and Gerdau SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ternium SA and Gerdau SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ternium SA with a short position of Gerdau SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ternium SA and Gerdau SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Ternium SA and Gerdau SA

-0.04
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ternium and Gerdau is -0.04. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ternium SA and Gerdau SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Gerdau SA and Ternium SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ternium SA are associated (or correlated) with Gerdau SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Gerdau SA has no effect on the direction of Ternium SA i.e., Ternium SA and Gerdau SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ternium SA and Gerdau SA

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ternium SA is expected to under-perform the Gerdau SA. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ternium SA is 1.05 times less risky than Gerdau SA. The stock trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Gerdau SA is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  6,799  in Gerdau SA on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.00  from holding Gerdau SA or generate 0.03% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ternium SA  vs.  Gerdau SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ternium SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ternium SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Gerdau SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Gerdau SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Gerdau SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ternium SA and Gerdau SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ternium SA and Gerdau SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ternium SA and Gerdau SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ternium SA position performs unexpectedly, Gerdau SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gerdau SA will offset losses from the drop in Gerdau SA's long position.
The idea behind Ternium SA and Gerdau SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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