Correlation Between Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultrapar Participacoes SA and Par Pacific Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultrapar Participacoes with a short position of Par Pacific. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific

0.51
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultrapar and Par is 0.51. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultrapar Participacoes SA and Par Pacific Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Par Pacific Holdings and Ultrapar Participacoes is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultrapar Participacoes SA are associated (or correlated) with Par Pacific. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Par Pacific Holdings has no effect on the direction of Ultrapar Participacoes i.e., Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ultrapar Participacoes SA is expected to under-perform the Par Pacific. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ultrapar Participacoes SA is 1.11 times less risky than Par Pacific. The stock trades about -0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Par Pacific Holdings is currently generating about -0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,823  in Par Pacific Holdings on September 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (276.00) from holding Par Pacific Holdings or give up 15.14% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultrapar Participacoes SA  vs.  Par Pacific Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultrapar Participacoes 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultrapar Participacoes SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.
Par Pacific Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Par Pacific Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.

Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultrapar Participacoes and Par Pacific positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultrapar Participacoes position performs unexpectedly, Par Pacific can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Par Pacific will offset losses from the drop in Par Pacific's long position.
The idea behind Ultrapar Participacoes SA and Par Pacific Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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