Correlation Between DEUTSCHE and United Fire

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both DEUTSCHE and United Fire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining DEUTSCHE and United Fire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between DEUTSCHE BANK AG and United Fire Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on DEUTSCHE and United Fire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in DEUTSCHE with a short position of United Fire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of DEUTSCHE and United Fire.

Diversification Opportunities for DEUTSCHE and United Fire

0.12
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between DEUTSCHE and United is 0.12. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding DEUTSCHE BANK AG and United Fire Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Fire Group and DEUTSCHE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on DEUTSCHE BANK AG are associated (or correlated) with United Fire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Fire Group has no effect on the direction of DEUTSCHE i.e., DEUTSCHE and United Fire go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between DEUTSCHE and United Fire

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DEUTSCHE BANK AG is expected to under-perform the United Fire. But the bond apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, DEUTSCHE BANK AG is 3.64 times less risky than United Fire. The bond trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The United Fire Group is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,058  in United Fire Group on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  859.00  from holding United Fire Group or generate 41.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy78.46%
ValuesDaily Returns

DEUTSCHE BANK AG  vs.  United Fire Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
DEUTSCHE BANK AG 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days DEUTSCHE BANK AG has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Bond's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for DEUTSCHE BANK AG investors.
United Fire Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Fire Group are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile fundamental indicators, United Fire unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

DEUTSCHE and United Fire Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with DEUTSCHE and United Fire

The main advantage of trading using opposite DEUTSCHE and United Fire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if DEUTSCHE position performs unexpectedly, United Fire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Fire will offset losses from the drop in United Fire's long position.
The idea behind DEUTSCHE BANK AG and United Fire Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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