Correlation Between Valneva SE and MERCK

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valneva SE and MERCK at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valneva SE and MERCK into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valneva SE ADR and MERCK INC 595, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valneva SE and MERCK and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valneva SE with a short position of MERCK. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valneva SE and MERCK.

Diversification Opportunities for Valneva SE and MERCK

0.34
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Valneva and MERCK is 0.34. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valneva SE ADR and MERCK INC 595 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MERCK INC 595 and Valneva SE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valneva SE ADR are associated (or correlated) with MERCK. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MERCK INC 595 has no effect on the direction of Valneva SE i.e., Valneva SE and MERCK go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valneva SE and MERCK

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Valneva SE ADR is expected to under-perform the MERCK. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Valneva SE ADR is 13.54 times less risky than MERCK. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The MERCK INC 595 is currently generating about 0.04 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,770  in MERCK INC 595 on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (95.00) from holding MERCK INC 595 or give up 0.88% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy86.26%
ValuesDaily Returns

Valneva SE ADR  vs.  MERCK INC 595

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Valneva SE ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Valneva SE ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
MERCK INC 595 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days MERCK INC 595 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, MERCK is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Valneva SE and MERCK Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Valneva SE and MERCK

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valneva SE and MERCK positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valneva SE position performs unexpectedly, MERCK can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MERCK will offset losses from the drop in MERCK's long position.
The idea behind Valneva SE ADR and MERCK INC 595 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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