Correlation Between Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Direxion Shares ETF, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small with a short position of Direxion Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares

-0.85
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Direxion is -0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Direxion Shares ETF in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Shares ETF and Vanguard Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Shares ETF has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small i.e., Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 0.21 times more return on investment than Direxion Shares. However, Vanguard Small Cap Index is 4.85 times less risky than Direxion Shares. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direxion Shares ETF is currently generating about -0.18 per unit of risk. If you would invest  22,672  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,321  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 14.65% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Direxion Shares ETF

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unfluctuating fundamental drivers, Vanguard Small sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Direxion Shares ETF 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Direxion Shares ETF has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Etf's essential indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the exchange-traded fund private investors.

Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small and Direxion Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Shares will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Shares' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Direxion Shares ETF pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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