Correlation Between Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and ProShares Ultra 20, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small with a short position of ProShares Ultra. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra

-0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ProShares is -0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and ProShares Ultra 20 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Ultra 20 and Vanguard Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Ultra. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Ultra 20 has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small i.e., Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 0.57 times more return on investment than ProShares Ultra. However, Vanguard Small Cap Index is 1.76 times less risky than ProShares Ultra. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares Ultra 20 is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  22,572  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,062  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 13.57% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  ProShares Ultra 20

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unfluctuating fundamental drivers, Vanguard Small sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
ProShares Ultra 20 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra 20 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental drivers remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the exchange-traded fund private investors.

Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small and ProShares Ultra positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Ultra can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Ultra will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Ultra's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and ProShares Ultra 20 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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