Correlation Between Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Extended Market and Vanguard Mid Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Extended with a short position of Vanguard Mid-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Extended Market and Vanguard Mid Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Mid Cap and Vanguard Extended is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Extended Market are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Mid-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Mid Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Extended i.e., Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Extended Market is expected to generate 1.52 times more return on investment than Vanguard Mid-cap. However, Vanguard Extended is 1.52 times more volatile than Vanguard Mid Cap Index. It trades about 0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Mid Cap Index is currently generating about 0.27 per unit of risk. If you would invest  13,205  in Vanguard Extended Market on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,342  from holding Vanguard Extended Market or generate 17.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Extended Market  vs.  Vanguard Mid Cap Index

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Extended Market 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Extended Market are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Extended showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

21 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Mid Cap Index are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Mid-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Extended and Vanguard Mid-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Extended position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Mid-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Mid-cap will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Mid-cap's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Extended Market and Vanguard Mid Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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