Correlation Between Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard 500 Index and Altegris Futures Evolution, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard 500 with a short position of Altegris Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures

-0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Altegris is -0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard 500 Index and Altegris Futures Evolution in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Altegris Futures Evo and Vanguard 500 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard 500 Index are associated (or correlated) with Altegris Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Altegris Futures Evo has no effect on the direction of Vanguard 500 i.e., Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard 500 Index is expected to generate 1.1 times more return on investment than Altegris Futures. However, Vanguard 500 is 1.1 times more volatile than Altegris Futures Evolution. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Altegris Futures Evolution is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  51,973  in Vanguard 500 Index on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,011  from holding Vanguard 500 Index or generate 7.72% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.46%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard 500 Index  vs.  Altegris Futures Evolution

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard 500 Index 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard 500 Index are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard 500 may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Altegris Futures Evo 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Altegris Futures Evolution has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Altegris Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard 500 and Altegris Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard 500 position performs unexpectedly, Altegris Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Altegris Futures will offset losses from the drop in Altegris Futures' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard 500 Index and Altegris Futures Evolution pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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