Correlation Between Valley National and Merchants Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valley National and Merchants Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valley National and Merchants Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valley National Bancorp and Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valley National and Merchants Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valley National with a short position of Merchants Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valley National and Merchants Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Valley National and Merchants Bancorp

0.89

Correlation Coefficient

Valley National  Merchants Bancorp

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Valley and Merchants is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valley National Bancorp and Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merchants Bancorp and Valley National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valley National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Merchants Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Valley National i.e., Valley National and Merchants Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valley National and Merchants Bancorp

Assuming the 90 days horizon Valley National Bancorp is expected to generate 3.8 times more return on investment than Merchants Bancorp. However, Valley National is 3.8 times more volatile than Merchants Bancorp. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,333  in Valley National Bancorp on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  183.00  from holding Valley National Bancorp or generate 7.84% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Valley National Bancorp  vs.  Merchants Bancorp

Valley National Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valley National Bancorp are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent basic indicators, Valley National may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Merchants Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Merchants Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Valley National and Merchants Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valley National and Merchants Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valley National position performs unexpectedly, Merchants Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Merchants Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind Valley National Bancorp and Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.