Correlation Between Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Short Term Government and Vanguard Large Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Short-term with a short position of Vanguard Large-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap

-0.48

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Short-term  Vanguard Large-cap

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is -0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Short Term Government and Vanguard Large Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Large Cap and Vanguard Short-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Short Term Government are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Large-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Large Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Short-term i.e., Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short Term Government is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Large-cap. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Short Term Government is 7.1 times less risky than Vanguard Large-cap. The mutual fund trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Vanguard Large Cap Index is currently generating about 0.22 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  12,691  in Vanguard Large Cap Index on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,354  from holding Vanguard Large Cap Index or generate 10.67% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Short Term Government  vs.  Vanguard Large Cap Index

Vanguard Short Term

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Short Term Government has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Large Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Large Cap Index are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Large-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Short-term and Vanguard Large-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Short-term position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Large-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Large-cap will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Large-cap's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Short Term Government and Vanguard Large Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.