Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Value and Vanguard Developed Markets, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Vanguard Developed. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed

-0.54

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Small-cap  Vanguard Developed

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is -0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Value and Vanguard Developed Markets in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Value are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Developed. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Developed has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Value is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than Vanguard Developed. However, Vanguard Small-cap is 1.22 times more volatile than Vanguard Developed Markets. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Developed Markets is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,231  in Vanguard Small Cap Value on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,027  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Value or generate 12.48% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Value  vs.  Vanguard Developed Markets

Vanguard Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Value are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Vanguard Developed

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Vanguard Developed Markets has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Developed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Vanguard Developed positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Developed can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Developed will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Developed's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Value and Vanguard Developed Markets pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.