Correlation Between Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Long Term Treasury and Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Long-term with a short position of Vanguard Intermediate-ter. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Long Term Treasury and Vanguard Intermediate Term Bon in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Intermediate-ter and Vanguard Long-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Long Term Treasury are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Intermediate-ter. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Intermediate-ter has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Long-term i.e., Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Long Term Treasury is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Intermediate-ter. In addition to that, Vanguard Long-term is 2.48 times more volatile than Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,046  in Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12.00) from holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond or give up 1.15% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Long Term Treasury  vs.  Vanguard Intermediate Term Bon

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Long Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Treasury has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Intermediate-ter 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Intermediate-ter is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Long-term and Vanguard Intermediate-ter positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Long-term position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Intermediate-ter can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Intermediate-ter will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Intermediate-ter's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Long Term Treasury and Vanguard Intermediate Term Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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