Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

CUBA Fund  USD 2.48  0.01  0.40%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0616, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Herzfeld Caribbean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Herzfeld Caribbean is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Herzfeld Caribbean Basin are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady fundamental drivers, Herzfeld Caribbean may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
...more
1
The Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund, Inc. Commences Tender Offer for up to 5 percent of Outstanding Common Shares - StockTitan
10/15/2024
2
Cuban Bank Cant Block Funds 72M Debt Claim - Law360
11/19/2024
3
Banco Nacional de Cuba reports on vulture fund case - Prensa Latina
11/22/2024
Expense Ratio3.3500
  

Herzfeld Caribbean Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  224.00  in Herzfeld Caribbean Basin on September 17, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  24.00  from holding Herzfeld Caribbean Basin or generate 10.71% return on investment over 90 days. Herzfeld Caribbean Basin is currently generating 0.1646% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.0542% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 9% of funds are less volatile than Herzfeld, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Herzfeld Caribbean is expected to generate 1.45 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Herzfeld Caribbean Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
2.48
Please note that Herzfeld Caribbean's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Herzfeld Caribbean Basin retains a regular Real Value of $2.46 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $2.48. We determine the value of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage taking in undervalued funds and trading overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Herzfeld Caribbean is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Herzfeld Fund. However, Herzfeld Caribbean's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.48 Real  2.46 Hype  2.48
The real value of Herzfeld Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Herzfeld Caribbean's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Herzfeld Caribbean's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
2.46
Real Value
3.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin helps investors to forecast how Herzfeld fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Herzfeld Caribbean more accurately as focusing exclusively on Herzfeld Caribbean's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.432.483.53
Details

Herzfeld Caribbean Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Herzfeld Caribbean's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of funds, such as Herzfeld Caribbean Basin, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Herzfeld Caribbean's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1562

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Estimated Market Risk

 1.05
  actual daily
9
91% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.16
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.16
  actual daily
12
88% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Herzfeld Caribbean is performing at about 12% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Herzfeld Caribbean by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Herzfeld Caribbean Fundamentals Growth

Herzfeld Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Herzfeld Caribbean, and Herzfeld Caribbean fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Herzfeld Fund performance.

About Herzfeld Caribbean Performance

By analyzing Herzfeld Caribbean's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Herzfeld Caribbean's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Herzfeld Caribbean has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Herzfeld Caribbean has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Inc. is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched by Thomas J. Herzfeld Advisors, Inc. The fund is managed by HerzfeldCuba. It invests in the public equity markets of the United States. The fund employing fundamental analysis investing in stocks of companies that are likely to benefit from economic, political, structural and technological developments in the countries in the Caribbean Basin, which consist of Cuba, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, the Bahamas, the Dominican Republic, Barbados, Aruba, Haiti, the Netherlands Antilles, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia and Venezuela. It invests in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Inc. was formed on March 10, 1992 and is domiciled in the United States.

Things to note about Herzfeld Caribbean Basin performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Herzfeld Caribbean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Fund alerts and notifications screener for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Banco Nacional de Cuba reports on vulture fund case - Prensa Latina
Herzfeld Caribbean Basin created five year return of -4.0%
Evaluating Herzfeld Caribbean's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Herzfeld Caribbean's fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Herzfeld Caribbean's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Herzfeld Caribbean's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Herzfeld Caribbean's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Herzfeld Caribbean's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Herzfeld Caribbean's management team can help you assess the Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Herzfeld Caribbean's fund. These opinions can provide insight into Herzfeld Caribbean's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Herzfeld Caribbean's fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Herzfeld Caribbean's fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Herzfeld Fund

Herzfeld Caribbean financial ratios help investors to determine whether Herzfeld Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Herzfeld with respect to the benefits of owning Herzfeld Caribbean security.
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing