Old Second Bancorp Stock Performance

OSBC Stock  USD 18.68  0.08  0.43%   
Old Second has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 1.79, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Old Second will likely underperform. Old Second Bancorp right now holds a risk of 2.17%. Please check Old Second Bancorp maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if Old Second Bancorp will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Old Second Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Old Second may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.43
Five Day Return
(1.06)
Year To Date Return
21.85
Ten Year Return
290.79
All Time Return
231.79
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0129
Payout Ratio
0.1135
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.24
Dividend Date
2024-11-04
1
Acquisition by Gartelmann Richard A Jr of tradable shares of Old Second subject to Rule 16b-3
09/30/2024
2
Acquisition by Williams John Jr of 7401 shares of Old Second subject to Rule 16b-3
10/11/2024
3
Old Second Bancorp, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2024 Net Income of 23.0 Million, or 0.50 per Diluted Share
10/16/2024
4
Old Second Bancorp Inc Shares Up 3.97 percent on Oct 17
10/17/2024
5
Earnings call Old Second Bancorp reports strong Q3 2024 results, raises dividend
10/18/2024
 
Old Second dividend paid on 4th of November 2024
11/04/2024
6
Old Second Bancorp director buys shares worth 419
11/05/2024
7
Old Second Bancorp Inc Quarterly 10-Q Report - Quartzy
11/07/2024
8
Insider Trading
11/29/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow115.2 M
Free Cash Flow104 M
  

Old Second Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,674  in Old Second Bancorp on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  194.00  from holding Old Second Bancorp or generate 11.59% return on investment over 90 days. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating 0.1942% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.1695% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Old, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Old Second is expected to generate 2.88 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of risk.

Old Second Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Old Second's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Old Second Bancorp, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Old Second's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0895

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.17
  actual daily
19
81% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.19
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.09
  actual daily
7
93% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Old Second is performing at about 7% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Old Second by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Old Second Fundamentals Growth

Old Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Old Second, and Old Second fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Old Stock performance.

About Old Second Performance

By analyzing Old Second's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Old Second's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Old Second has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Old Second has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 61.33  54.52 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.17 

Things to note about Old Second Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Old Second for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Old Second Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Old Second Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of November 2024 Old Second paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading
Evaluating Old Second's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Old Second's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Old Second's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Old Second's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Old Second's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Old Second's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Old Second's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Old Second's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Old Second's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Old Second's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Old Second's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Old Stock analysis

When running Old Second's price analysis, check to measure Old Second's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Old Second is operating at the current time. Most of Old Second's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Old Second's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Old Second's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Old Second to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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