Acco Brands Stock Price Prediction
| ACCO Stock | USD 5.82 0.01 0.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.41 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0433 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.13 | Wall Street Target Price 10.8333 |
Using Acco Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acco Brands from the perspective of Acco Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acco Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acco Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 5.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acco |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acco Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acco Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acco Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acco Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acco Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acco Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acco Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acco Brands' historical news coverage. Acco Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.66 and 7.98, respectively. We have considered Acco Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acco Brands is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acco Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acco Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acco Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acco Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acco Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.16 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.82 | 5.82 | 0.00 |
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Acco Brands Hype Timeline
Acco Brands is presently traded for 5.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Acco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Acco Brands is about 1416.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.85. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acco Brands has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.43. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.9. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Acco Brands had 3:2 split on the 1st of September 1989. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Acco Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acco Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acco Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acco Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Acco Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acco Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HNI | HNI Corp | 0.14 | 9 per month | 1.42 | (0.01) | 2.45 | (2.19) | 7.95 | |
| SCS | Steelcase | (0.24) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.85 | (3.02) | 8.50 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | 0.64 | 9 per month | 1.51 | (0.05) | 2.47 | (2.34) | 7.52 | |
| ACTG | Acacia Research | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.36 | (2.94) | 14.71 |
Acco Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Acco Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acco Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acco Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acco Brands based on analysis of Acco Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acco Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acco Brands's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0537 | 0.0492 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.32 |
Story Coverage note for Acco Brands
The number of cover stories for Acco Brands depends on current market conditions and Acco Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acco Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acco Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acco Brands Short Properties
Acco Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Acco Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acco Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acco Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acco Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.4 M |
Check out Acco Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Acco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Acco Brands guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acco Brands. If investors know Acco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acco Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share (1.90) | Revenue Per Share 17.769 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Acco Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acco Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acco Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acco Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acco Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acco Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Acco Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acco Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.