Acme United Stock Price Prediction
ACU Stock | USD 44.07 0.51 1.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 58 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Acme United hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acme United from the perspective of Acme United response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acme United to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acme because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acme United after-hype prediction price | USD 43.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acme |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acme United's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acme United After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acme United at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acme United or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acme United, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Acme United Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acme United's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acme United's historical news coverage. Acme United's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.64 and 45.52, respectively. We have considered Acme United's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acme United is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acme United is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acme United Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acme United is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acme United backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acme United, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.96 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.07 | 43.58 | 0.05 |
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Acme United Hype Timeline
On the 5th of December Acme United is traded for 44.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Acme is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Acme United is about 370.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.10. The company reported the last year's revenue of 191.5 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 17.79 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 63.56 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Acme United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acme United Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acme United's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acme United's future price movements. Getting to know how Acme United's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acme United may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
CAWW | CCA Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.88 | (0.01) | 18.46 | (13.58) | 50.07 | |
MTEX | Mannatech Incorporated | 0.02 | 6 per month | 2.61 | 0.06 | 7.29 | (5.87) | 18.57 | |
NTCO | Natura Co Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.76 | 0.26 | 5.72 | (4.03) | 20.38 | |
EWCZ | European Wax Center | 0.42 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.89 | (5.73) | 31.55 | |
IPAR | Inter Parfums | 3.88 | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0 | 2.61 | (3.01) | 8.04 | |
SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings | (0.96) | 7 per month | 1.59 | (0.07) | 1.87 | (2.23) | 8.88 | |
NUS | Nu Skin Enterprises | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.61 | (4.61) | 15.92 | |
PG | Procter Gamble | 2.11 | 6 per month | 0.92 | (0.07) | 1.74 | (1.36) | 4.66 | |
EPC | Edgewell Personal Care | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.64 | (2.72) | 6.00 | |
HELE | Helen of Troy | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0.14 | 3.72 | (2.54) | 22.13 |
Acme United Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acme price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acme using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acme charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Acme United Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acme United stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acme United, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acme United based on analysis of Acme United hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acme United's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acme United's related companies. 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0153 | 0.0127 | 0.0216 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.64 | 0.82 | 0.42 |
Story Coverage note for Acme United
The number of cover stories for Acme United depends on current market conditions and Acme United's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acme United is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acme United's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acme United Short Properties
Acme United's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acme United's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acme United often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acme United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acme United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
Additional Tools for Acme Stock Analysis
When running Acme United's price analysis, check to measure Acme United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acme United is operating at the current time. Most of Acme United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acme United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acme United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acme United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.