Amn Healthcare Services Stock Price Prediction
| AMN Stock | USD 26.03 0.26 0.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
20
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.0433 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6332 | Wall Street Target Price 41.2857 |
Using AMN Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMN Healthcare Services from the perspective of AMN Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
AMN Healthcare Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AMN Healthcare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AMN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AMN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AMN Healthcare Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AMN Healthcare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AMN Healthcare.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMN Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMN Healthcare after-hype prediction price | USD 19.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AMN |
AMN Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMN Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMN Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMN Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AMN Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMN Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMN Healthcare's historical news coverage. AMN Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.32 and 28.92, respectively. We have considered AMN Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMN Healthcare is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMN Healthcare Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMN Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMN Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMN Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMN Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.96 | 5.02 | 6.91 | 0.52 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.03 | 19.38 | 26.28 |
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AMN Healthcare Hype Timeline
On the 29th of November AMN Healthcare Services is traded for 26.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -6.91, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.52. AMN is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 69.72%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -26.28%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.96%. The volatility of related hype on AMN Healthcare is about 929.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.51. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMN Healthcare Services has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of May 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out AMN Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMN Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMN Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMN Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how AMN Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMN Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPCH | Option Care Health | (0.98) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.91 | (3.57) | 26.20 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | 3.64 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.50 | (2.51) | 7.74 | |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.36 | (5.78) | 21.88 | |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corp | 1.23 | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.05 | 1.74 | (1.86) | 9.75 | |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings | (0.56) | 10 per month | 1.92 | 0 | 2.91 | (2.51) | 14.62 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | (13.99) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.32 | (2.11) | 10.08 | |
| UHS | Universal Health Services | 3.20 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.40 | (4.07) | 14.88 | |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners | 1.50 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.72 | (4.88) | 17.97 | |
| AMED | Amedisys | 0.77 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.61 | (0.93) | 5.99 | |
| PNTG | Pennant Group | (0.65) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.12 | (3.97) | 12.42 | |
| INNV | InnovAge Holding Corp | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.23 | (4.81) | 11.60 |
AMN Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMN using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AMN Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMN Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMN Healthcare Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMN Healthcare based on analysis of AMN Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMN Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMN Healthcare's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 94.25 | 66.36 | 71.91 | 56.58 | PTB Ratio | 5.02 | 4.39 | 3.53 | 6.64 |
Story Coverage note for AMN Healthcare
The number of cover stories for AMN Healthcare depends on current market conditions and AMN Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMN Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMN Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AMN Healthcare Short Properties
AMN Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMN Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMN Healthcare Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMN Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMN Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.9 M |
Check out AMN Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMN Healthcare. If investors know AMN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMN Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share 80.434 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets 0.0315 |
The market value of AMN Healthcare Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMN Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMN Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMN Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMN Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMN Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMN Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMN Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.