Apogee Enterprises Stock Price Prediction
| APOG Stock | USD 84.21 0.43 0.51% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.44 | Wall Street Target Price 83 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.23 |
Using Apogee Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apogee Enterprises from the perspective of Apogee Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Apogee Enterprises to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Apogee because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Apogee Enterprises after-hype prediction price | USD 84.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Apogee |
Apogee Enterprises After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apogee Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apogee Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apogee Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apogee Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apogee Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apogee Enterprises' historical news coverage. Apogee Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.73 and 87.49, respectively. We have considered Apogee Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apogee Enterprises is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apogee Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apogee Enterprises Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apogee Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apogee Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apogee Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 3.38 | 0.10 | 0.59 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
84.21 | 84.11 | 0.12 |
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Apogee Enterprises Hype Timeline
Apogee Enterprises is presently traded for 84.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.59. Apogee is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 84.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Apogee Enterprises is about 278.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.80. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Apogee Enterprises was presently reported as 23.08. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.57. Apogee Enterprises last dividend was issued on the 22nd of October 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of February 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Apogee Enterprises Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Apogee Enterprises Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apogee Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apogee Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Apogee Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apogee Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NX | Quanex Building Products | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.87 | 0.01 | 3.30 | (3.23) | 32.55 | |
| JBI | Janus International Group | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.00 | (4.22) | 33.52 | |
| TILE | Interface | 0.12 | 11 per month | 1.26 | 0.12 | 3.44 | (2.83) | 34.55 | |
| PGTI | PGT Innovations | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | (0.01) | 2.49 | (2.71) | 9.02 | |
| AZEK | Azek Company | 0.56 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.14 | 3.48 | (2.33) | 8.77 | |
| BECN | Beacon Roofing Supply | 9.23 | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.11 | 3.32 | (2.18) | 11.44 | |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries | 2.20 | 7 per month | 0.58 | 0.20 | 2.35 | (1.38) | 5.22 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | (0.25) | 9 per month | 1.68 | (0.01) | 2.88 | (2.19) | 7.69 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | 0.37 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.93 | (5.43) | 33.73 | |
| PPIH | Perma Pipe International Holdings | (0.14) | 4 per month | 2.17 | 0.13 | 9.47 | (3.61) | 23.47 |
Apogee Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apogee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apogee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apogee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Apogee Enterprises Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Apogee Enterprises stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Apogee Enterprises, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apogee Enterprises based on analysis of Apogee Enterprises hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Apogee Enterprises's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Apogee Enterprises's related companies. | 2011 | 2014 | 2019 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.011 | 0.0178 | 0.0169 | 0.0234 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.26 | 0.71 | 0.88 | 0.58 |
Story Coverage note for Apogee Enterprises
The number of cover stories for Apogee Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Apogee Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apogee Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apogee Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Apogee Enterprises Short Properties
Apogee Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Apogee Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apogee Enterprises often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apogee Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apogee Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Apogee Stock analysis
When running Apogee Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Apogee Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apogee Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Apogee Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apogee Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apogee Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apogee Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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