Carabao Group (Thailand) Price Prediction
| CBG Stock | THB 77.00 0.25 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Carabao Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carabao Group Public from the perspective of Carabao Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carabao Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carabao because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carabao Group after-hype prediction price | THB 77.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Carabao |
Carabao Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carabao Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carabao Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carabao Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carabao Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carabao Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carabao Group's historical news coverage. Carabao Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.20 and 78.80, respectively. We have considered Carabao Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carabao Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carabao Group Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carabao Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carabao Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carabao Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carabao Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.00 | 77.00 | 0.00 |
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Carabao Group Hype Timeline
Carabao Group Public is currently traded for 77.00on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Carabao is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carabao Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.00. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Carabao Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carabao Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carabao Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carabao Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Carabao Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carabao Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AOT | Airports of Thailand | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | (0.07) | 2.07 | (1.59) | 5.57 | |
| PTT | PTT Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.27 | (1.48) | 5.19 | |
| BDMS | Bangkok Dusit Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.78 | (2.52) | 6.76 | |
| KBANK | Kasikornbank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | (0.02) | 1.97 | (1.95) | 7.02 |
Carabao Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carabao price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carabao using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carabao charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Carabao Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carabao Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carabao Group Public, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carabao Group based on analysis of Carabao Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carabao Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carabao Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Carabao Group
The number of cover stories for Carabao Group depends on current market conditions and Carabao Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carabao Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carabao Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Carabao Group Short Properties
Carabao Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Carabao Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carabao Group Public often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carabao Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carabao Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1000 M |
Other Information on Investing in Carabao Stock
Carabao Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carabao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carabao with respect to the benefits of owning Carabao Group security.