Csg Systems International Stock Price Prediction
| CSGS Stock | USD 51.49 2.08 3.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.081 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.14 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.313 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.527 | Wall Street Target Price 66.5556 |
Using CSG Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CSG Systems International from the perspective of CSG Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CSG Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CSG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CSG Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 53.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CSG |
CSG Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CSG Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CSG Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CSG Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CSG Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CSG Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CSG Systems' historical news coverage. CSG Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.64 and 55.08, respectively. We have considered CSG Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CSG Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CSG Systems International is based on 3 months time horizon.
CSG Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CSG Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSG Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CSG Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.72 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.49 | 53.36 | 0.39 |
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CSG Systems Hype Timeline
CSG Systems International is currently traded for 51.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. CSG is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 160.75%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on CSG Systems is about 1026.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.52. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. CSG Systems International last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 8th of March 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CSG Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CSG Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CSG Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CSG Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how CSG Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CSG Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.06 | 3.29 | (3.12) | 10.97 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.06) | 6 per month | 2.29 | 0.03 | 4.16 | (3.62) | 20.68 | |
| ESMT | EngageSmart LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 3.90 | (2.93) | 9.34 | |
| FORG | ForgeRock | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.78 | (1.49) | 6.71 | |
| STER | Sterling Check Corp | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.93 | 0.07 | 1.77 | (1.22) | 7.04 | |
| SCWX | Secureworks Corp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 2.02 | 0.04 | 3.72 | (2.97) | 21.15 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 1.06 | 12 per month | 1.39 | 0.02 | 2.24 | (2.30) | 8.27 | |
| LSAK | Lesaka Technologies | (0.08) | 8 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 4.18 | (2.10) | 9.91 | |
| PRTH | Priority Technology Holdings | 0.03 | 11 per month | 3.61 | 0.14 | 11.79 | (5.65) | 25.49 | |
| OSPN | OneSpan | 0.35 | 8 per month | 2.26 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (3.60) | 20.15 | |
| SANG | Sangoma Technologies Corp | 0.49 | 6 per month | 2.29 | 0.08 | 4.40 | (3.85) | 11.06 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.23 | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 3.05 | (2.45) | 13.03 |
CSG Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CSG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CSG using various technical indicators. When you analyze CSG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CSG Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CSG Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CSG Systems International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CSG Systems based on analysis of CSG Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CSG Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CSG Systems's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0178 | 0.0213 | 0.0156 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.75 | 1.36 | 1.29 |
Story Coverage note for CSG Systems
The number of cover stories for CSG Systems depends on current market conditions and CSG Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CSG Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CSG Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CSG Systems Short Properties
CSG Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when CSG Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CSG Systems International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CSG Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSG Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 186.3 M |
Additional Tools for CSG Stock Analysis
When running CSG Systems' price analysis, check to measure CSG Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSG Systems is operating at the current time. Most of CSG Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSG Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSG Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSG Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.