Eaton Vance Senior Stock Price Prediction

EVF Stock  USD 6.18  0.00  0.00%   
As of 23rd of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Eaton Vance's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eaton Vance, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eaton Vance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eaton Vance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eaton Vance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eaton Vance Senior, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eaton Vance's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using Eaton Vance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eaton Vance Senior from the perspective of Eaton Vance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eaton Vance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eaton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eaton Vance after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.736.146.55
Details

Eaton Vance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eaton Vance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eaton Vance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eaton Vance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eaton Vance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eaton Vance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eaton Vance's historical news coverage. Eaton Vance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.73 and 6.55, respectively. We have considered Eaton Vance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.18
6.14
After-hype Price
6.55
Upside
Eaton Vance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eaton Vance Senior is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eaton Vance Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eaton Vance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eaton Vance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eaton Vance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.41
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.18
6.14
0.00 
2,050  
Notes

Eaton Vance Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of December Eaton Vance Senior is traded for 6.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eaton is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eaton Vance is about 873.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.18. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eaton Vance Senior last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eaton Vance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eaton Vance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eaton Vance's future price movements. Getting to know how Eaton Vance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eaton Vance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CXHMFS Investment Grade 0.02 4 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.62 (1.00) 3.29 
IHTAInvesco High Income 0.02 1 per month 0.25  0.06  0.68 (0.27) 2.03 
EOTEaton Vance National(0.21)3 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.81 (0.97) 2.86 
NXCNuveen California Select(0.03)3 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.81 (1.05) 4.03 
FMNFederated Premier Municipal(0.04)1 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.98 (1.49) 2.67 
FRABlackrock Floating Rate 0.03 2 per month 0.46  0.16  1.11 (1.19) 2.85 
CPZCalamos LongShort Equity(0.02)3 per month 0.62 (0.03) 1.06 (1.11) 2.57 
ETBEaton Vance Tax(0.04)2 per month 0.38  0.11  0.92 (0.91) 3.06 
JPTNuveen Preferred And(0.09)4 per month 1.04 (0.02) 1.33 (1.82) 4.64 
CBHCBH(0.01)1 per month 0.00  0.09  0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
GGZGabelli Global Small(0.18)4 per month 0.98 (0.02) 1.08 (1.54) 6.37 
GCVGabelli Convertible And 0.00 4 per month 1.04  0.04  1.65 (1.52) 3.77 
MHNBlackrock Muniholdings Ny(0.06)3 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.93 (1.22) 2.44 

Eaton Vance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eaton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eaton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eaton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eaton Vance Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eaton Vance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eaton Vance Senior, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eaton Vance based on analysis of Eaton Vance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eaton Vance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eaton Vance's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.670.890.930.6
Dividend Yield0.07990.120.110.0601

Story Coverage note for Eaton Vance

The number of cover stories for Eaton Vance depends on current market conditions and Eaton Vance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eaton Vance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eaton Vance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eaton Vance Short Properties

Eaton Vance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eaton Vance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eaton Vance Senior often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eaton Vance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eaton Vance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M

Complementary Tools for Eaton Stock analysis

When running Eaton Vance's price analysis, check to measure Eaton Vance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eaton Vance is operating at the current time. Most of Eaton Vance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eaton Vance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eaton Vance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eaton Vance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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