Amplify Etf Trust Etf Price Prediction

GAMR Etf  USD 68.45  0.73  1.06%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify ETF's etf price is slightly above 63. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Amplify ETF's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Amplify ETF and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Amplify ETF's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amplify ETF Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Amplify ETF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify ETF Trust from the perspective of Amplify ETF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amplify ETF to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amplify because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Amplify ETF after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 68.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Amplify ETF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Amplify Etf, please use our How to Invest in Amplify ETF guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.6170.6371.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.1869.4770.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.6568.9070.14
Details

Amplify ETF After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Amplify ETF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify ETF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify ETF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Amplify ETF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Amplify ETF's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify ETF's historical news coverage. Amplify ETF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.13 and 69.71, respectively. We have considered Amplify ETF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
68.45
68.42
After-hype Price
69.71
Upside
Amplify ETF is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify ETF Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Amplify ETF Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify ETF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify ETF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify ETF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.29
  0.03 
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
68.45
68.42
0.04 
806.25  
Notes

Amplify ETF Hype Timeline

Amplify ETF Trust is currently traded for 68.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Amplify is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 68.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Amplify ETF is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.45. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Amplify ETF Trust recorded a loss per share of 0.34. The entity had 1:20 split on the June 3, 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Amplify ETF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Amplify Etf, please use our How to Invest in Amplify ETF guide.

Amplify ETF Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify ETF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify ETF's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify ETF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify ETF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GXTGGlobal X Thematic 0.00 0 per month 1.11 (0) 1.81 (1.97) 6.27 
AQUIAquagold International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation 0.00 0 per month 0.43 (0.09) 1.21 (0.84) 2.80 
LBHIXThrivent High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.56) 0.24 (0.24) 0.71 
ABHYXHigh Yield Municipal Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.35) 0.34 (0.44) 1.91 
SCAXFSparta Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  23.47 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 1.08  0.02  2.28 (1.20) 7.18 
RRTLXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.23 (0.32) 0.48 (0.47) 1.36 
OSHDFOshidori International Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  1,000.00 
70082LAB3US70082LAB36 0.00 0 per month 0.95 (0.01) 1.75 (0.78) 6.86 

Amplify ETF Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Amplify ETF Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Amplify ETF stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amplify ETF Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amplify ETF based on analysis of Amplify ETF hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amplify ETF's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amplify ETF's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Amplify ETF

The number of cover stories for Amplify ETF depends on current market conditions and Amplify ETF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify ETF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify ETF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
When determining whether Amplify ETF Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Amplify ETF's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Amplify ETF's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Amplify Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Amplify ETF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Amplify Etf, please use our How to Invest in Amplify ETF guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
The market value of Amplify ETF Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amplify that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amplify ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amplify ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amplify ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amplify ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amplify ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amplify ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amplify ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.