Gohealth Stock Price Prediction
GOCO Stock | USD 12.81 0.47 3.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.241 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5 | Wall Street Target Price 18.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (3.19) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
Using GoHealth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GoHealth from the perspective of GoHealth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GoHealth to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GoHealth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GoHealth after-hype prediction price | USD 12.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GoHealth |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GoHealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GoHealth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GoHealth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GoHealth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GoHealth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
GoHealth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GoHealth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GoHealth's historical news coverage. GoHealth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.57 and 16.55, respectively. We have considered GoHealth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GoHealth is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GoHealth is based on 3 months time horizon.
GoHealth Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GoHealth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GoHealth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GoHealth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 3.99 | 0.25 | 2.31 | 8 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.81 | 12.56 | 1.95 |
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GoHealth Hype Timeline
GoHealth is currently traded for 12.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.31. GoHealth is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.95%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.74%. The volatility of related hype on GoHealth is about 127.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.50. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GoHealth recorded a loss per share of 3.29. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:15 split on the 18th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out GoHealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GoHealth Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GoHealth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GoHealth's future price movements. Getting to know how GoHealth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GoHealth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
EHTH | eHealth | 0.22 | 8 per month | 2.60 | 0.12 | 8.22 | (4.76) | 16.43 | |
TIRX | Tian Ruixiang Holdings | (0.07) | 2 per month | 4.39 | (0.02) | 8.47 | (7.39) | 20.59 | |
HUIZ | Huize Holding | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.16 | (8.89) | 33.03 | |
FANH | Fanhua Inc | 0.07 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.72 | (9.09) | 28.53 | |
SLQT | Selectquote | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.39 | (6.91) | 50.21 | |
CRVL | CorVel Corp | (3.30) | 10 per month | 1.30 | 0.05 | 3.26 | (2.24) | 13.47 | |
ERIE | Erie Indemnity | (36.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.09 | (3.12) | 10.81 | |
BRO | Brown Brown | 0.48 | 8 per month | 0.94 | (0.0001) | 1.88 | (2.06) | 5.25 | |
AJG | Arthur J Gallagher | 0.32 | 8 per month | 1.14 | (0.02) | 2.16 | (1.61) | 5.31 | |
BRP | Brp Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.74 | (0.02) | 4.05 | (4.84) | 12.03 | |
MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies | 2.26 | 10 per month | 0.80 | (0.1) | 1.25 | (1.31) | 3.78 | |
AON | Aon PLC | (1.77) | 9 per month | 0.49 | 0.08 | 1.43 | (1.19) | 7.95 | |
WTW | Willis Towers Watson | (2.81) | 10 per month | 0.69 | 0.03 | 1.80 | (1.63) | 4.68 |
GoHealth Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GoHealth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GoHealth using various technical indicators. When you analyze GoHealth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About GoHealth Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GoHealth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GoHealth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GoHealth based on analysis of GoHealth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GoHealth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GoHealth's related companies. 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0288 | 0.0259 | 0.0272 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.16 |
Story Coverage note for GoHealth
The number of cover stories for GoHealth depends on current market conditions and GoHealth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GoHealth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GoHealth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GoHealth Short Properties
GoHealth's future price predictability will typically decrease when GoHealth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GoHealth often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GoHealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GoHealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.8 M |
Check out GoHealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in GoHealth Stock, please use our How to Invest in GoHealth guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GoHealth. If investors know GoHealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GoHealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.241 | Earnings Share (3.29) | Revenue Per Share 69.776 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of GoHealth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GoHealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GoHealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GoHealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GoHealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GoHealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GoHealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GoHealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GoHealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.