Guidewire Software Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 158.31 160.16 222.07 Details

15 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 89.18 98.00 108.78 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.20 0.30 0.37 Details

Guidewire Software After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Guidewire Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Guidewire Software Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.49	1.85	1.47	0.06	7 Events / Month	14 Events / Month	In about 7 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
201.88	203.35	0.73	61.46   Notes

Guidewire Software Hype Timeline

Guidewire Software is currently traded for 201.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Guidewire is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 203.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 61.46%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Guidewire Software is about 1526.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 201.82. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 980.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 458.21 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Guidewire Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Guidewire Stock refer to our How to Trade Guidewire Stock guide.

Guidewire Software Related Hype Analysis

Guidewire Software Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guidewire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guidewire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guidewire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Guidewire Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guidewire Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guidewire Software based on analysis of Guidewire Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Guidewire Software depends on current market conditions and Guidewire Software's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guidewire Software is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guidewire Software's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Guidewire Software's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guidewire Software's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guidewire Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guidewire Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guidewire Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Guidewire Software's price analysis, check to measure Guidewire Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guidewire Software is operating at the current time. Most of Guidewire Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guidewire Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guidewire Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guidewire Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.