Lennar Stock Price Prediction

LEN Stock  USD 174.10  0.70  0.40%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Lennar's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lennar, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lennar's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lennar, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lennar's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.101
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.1963
EPS Estimate Next Year
16.2329
Wall Street Target Price
197.9375
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
3.63
Using Lennar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lennar from the perspective of Lennar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Lennar Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lennar's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lennar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lennar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lennar. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lennar's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lennar.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lennar to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lennar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lennar after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 174.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lennar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
146.41148.32191.51
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
126.38138.88154.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.503.553.65
Details

Lennar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lennar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lennar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lennar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lennar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lennar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lennar's historical news coverage. Lennar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 172.19 and 176.01, respectively. We have considered Lennar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
174.10
172.19
Downside
174.10
After-hype Price
176.01
Upside
Lennar is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lennar is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lennar Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lennar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lennar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lennar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.91
  0.14 
  0.54 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
174.10
174.10
0.00 
68.21  
Notes

Lennar Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Lennar is traded for 174.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.54. Lennar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 68.21%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lennar is about 17.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.56. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lennar has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.22. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.11. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of October 2024. Lennar had 1017:1000 split on the 9th of November 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.

Lennar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lennar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lennar's future price movements. Getting to know how Lennar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lennar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PHMPulteGroup(3.68)10 per month 1.95 (0.03) 2.91 (3.21) 10.37 
KBHKB Home 0.29 10 per month 2.10 (0.05) 3.05 (3.31) 10.10 
NVRNVR Inc(90.00)10 per month 1.28 (0.07) 2.09 (1.93) 5.19 
TOLToll Brothers(4.20)11 per month 1.47  0.05  3.43 (2.91) 8.65 
DHIDR Horton(3.48)10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.97 (3.16) 10.42 
BZHBeazer Homes USA(1.35)8 per month 2.11  0.02  4.14 (3.93) 12.19 
HOVHovnanian Enterprises 9.12 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.74 (5.89) 16.06 
MTHMeritage 1.68 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.80 (4.82) 10.57 
IBPInstalled Building Products(5.04)6 per month 2.74 (0.03) 5.19 (4.50) 14.29 

Lennar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lennar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lennar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lennar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lennar Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lennar stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lennar, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lennar based on analysis of Lennar hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lennar's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lennar's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01720.01190.0077040.0123
Price To Sales Ratio0.761.060.380.53

Story Coverage note for Lennar

The number of cover stories for Lennar depends on current market conditions and Lennar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lennar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lennar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lennar Short Properties

Lennar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lennar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lennar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lennar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lennar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding283.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 B
When determining whether Lennar offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lennar's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lennar Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lennar Stock:
Check out Lennar Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.101
Dividend Share
1.875
Earnings Share
15.11
Revenue Per Share
132.561
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.079
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.