Chicago Atlantic Bdc, Stock Price Prediction
| LIEN Stock | 12.35 0.12 0.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chicago Atlantic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chicago Atlantic BDC, from the perspective of Chicago Atlantic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chicago Atlantic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chicago because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chicago Atlantic after-hype prediction price | USD 12.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chicago Atlantic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chicago Atlantic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chicago Atlantic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chicago Atlantic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chicago Atlantic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chicago Atlantic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chicago Atlantic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chicago Atlantic's historical news coverage. Chicago Atlantic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.73 and 13.77, respectively. We have considered Chicago Atlantic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chicago Atlantic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chicago Atlantic BDC, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chicago Atlantic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chicago Atlantic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chicago Atlantic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chicago Atlantic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.52 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.35 | 12.25 | 0.16 |
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Chicago Atlantic Hype Timeline
Chicago Atlantic BDC, is now traded for 12.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Chicago is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Chicago Atlantic is about 1266.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.33. Net Income was 7.34 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Chicago Atlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chicago Atlantic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chicago Atlantic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chicago Atlantic's future price movements. Getting to know how Chicago Atlantic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chicago Atlantic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSEC-PA | Prospect Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.17 | (3.44) | 10.33 | |
| STT-PG | State Street | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.66 | (0.69) | 2.92 | |
| OCCIM | OFS Credit Company, | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.52 | (0.32) | 1.05 | |
| OCCIN | OFS Credit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | (0.01) | 0.60 | (0.63) | 1.64 | |
| OCCIO | OFS Credit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.99 | (0.69) | 2.53 | |
| GECCO | Great Elm Capital | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.21 | 0.04 | 1.28 | (0.65) | 2.51 | |
| ATCO-PD | Atlas Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | (0.04) | 0.85 | (0.75) | 2.04 | |
| ATCO-PH | Atlas Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | (0.05) | 0.72 | (0.83) | 2.27 | |
| INV | Innventure, | (0.27) | 5 per month | 5.00 | 0.08 | 12.77 | (9.17) | 34.95 | |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group | (0.96) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.07 | (2.22) | 9.84 |
Chicago Atlantic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chicago price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chicago using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chicago charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chicago Atlantic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chicago Atlantic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chicago Atlantic BDC,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chicago Atlantic based on analysis of Chicago Atlantic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chicago Atlantic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chicago Atlantic's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Chicago Atlantic
The number of cover stories for Chicago Atlantic depends on current market conditions and Chicago Atlantic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chicago Atlantic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chicago Atlantic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chicago Atlantic Short Properties
Chicago Atlantic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chicago Atlantic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chicago Atlantic BDC, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chicago Atlantic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chicago Atlantic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 8.3 M |
Check out Chicago Atlantic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Asset Management space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chicago Atlantic. If investors know Chicago will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chicago Atlantic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Chicago Atlantic BDC, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chicago that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chicago Atlantic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chicago Atlantic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chicago Atlantic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chicago Atlantic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chicago Atlantic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chicago Atlantic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chicago Atlantic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.