Louisiana Pacific Stock Price Prediction
| LPX Stock | USD 118.20 1.56 1.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.5627 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5136 | Wall Street Target Price 109 |
Using Louisiana Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Louisiana Pacific from the perspective of Louisiana Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Louisiana Pacific Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Louisiana Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Louisiana. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Louisiana can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Louisiana Pacific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Louisiana Pacific's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Louisiana Pacific.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Louisiana Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Louisiana because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Louisiana Pacific after-hype prediction price | USD 116.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Louisiana |
Louisiana Pacific After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Louisiana Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Louisiana Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Louisiana Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Louisiana Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Louisiana Pacific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Louisiana Pacific's historical news coverage. Louisiana Pacific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 114.18 and 117.92, respectively. We have considered Louisiana Pacific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Louisiana Pacific is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Louisiana Pacific is based on 3 months time horizon.
Louisiana Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Louisiana Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Louisiana Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Louisiana Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.87 | 0.59 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
118.20 | 116.05 | 0.51 |
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Louisiana Pacific Hype Timeline
On the 29th of November Louisiana Pacific is traded for 118.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Louisiana is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 116.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 113.33%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.51%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Louisiana Pacific is about 2770.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 118.22. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Louisiana Pacific was now reported as 23.8. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.86. Louisiana Pacific recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of June 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Louisiana Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Louisiana Pacific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Louisiana Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how Louisiana Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Louisiana Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LII | Lennox International | (16.00) | 11 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 2.89 | (2.28) | 7.45 | |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.51 | (2.75) | 9.65 | |
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | (3.15) | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.1 | 2.36 | (1.84) | 6.50 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | (0.63) | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.08 | 2.49 | (1.66) | 10.49 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 8.73 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.02 | 2.58 | (1.93) | 12.15 | |
| MAS | Masco | 1.63 | 8 per month | 1.13 | (0.08) | 1.64 | (1.91) | 5.78 | |
| BECN | Beacon Roofing Supply | 9.23 | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.11 | 3.32 | (2.18) | 11.44 | |
| AZEK | Azek Company | 0.56 | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 3.48 | (2.33) | 8.77 | |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | (1.28) | 9 per month | 1.94 | (0.0002) | 2.43 | (2.02) | 11.86 | |
| AAON | AAON Inc | 1.35 | 7 per month | 1.34 | 0.16 | 5.69 | (2.44) | 18.32 | |
| TREX | Trex Company | (1.92) | 8 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 3.40 | (2.93) | 9.80 | |
| OC | Owens Corning | 2.44 | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.11 | 3.38 | (2.36) | 8.81 |
Louisiana Pacific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Louisiana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Louisiana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Louisiana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Louisiana Pacific Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Louisiana Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Louisiana Pacific, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Louisiana Pacific based on analysis of Louisiana Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Louisiana Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Louisiana Pacific's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008684 | 0.0149 | 0.0135 | 0.0239 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.67 | 1.2 | 1.98 | 2.07 |
Story Coverage note for Louisiana Pacific
The number of cover stories for Louisiana Pacific depends on current market conditions and Louisiana Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Louisiana Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Louisiana Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Louisiana Pacific Short Properties
Louisiana Pacific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Louisiana Pacific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Louisiana Pacific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Louisiana Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Louisiana Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 222 M |
Additional Tools for Louisiana Stock Analysis
When running Louisiana Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Louisiana Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Louisiana Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Louisiana Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Louisiana Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Louisiana Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.