Mondelez International Stock Price Prediction
| MDLZ Stock | USD 63.27 1.54 2.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
23
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.82 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4927 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.429 | Wall Street Target Price 80.3644 |
Using Mondelez International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mondelez International from the perspective of Mondelez International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Mondelez International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mondelez International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mondelez. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mondelez can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mondelez International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mondelez International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mondelez International.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mondelez International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mondelez because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mondelez International after-hype prediction price | USD 64.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mondelez |
Mondelez International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mondelez International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mondelez International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mondelez International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mondelez International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mondelez International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mondelez International's historical news coverage. Mondelez International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.00 and 65.80, respectively. We have considered Mondelez International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mondelez International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mondelez International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mondelez International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mondelez International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mondelez International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mondelez International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 0.90 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
63.27 | 64.90 | 0.14 |
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Mondelez International Hype Timeline
Mondelez International is now traded for 63.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Mondelez is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 64.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Mondelez International is about 186.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.38. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.02 B. Net Income was 4.97 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.36 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Mondelez International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mondelez International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mondelez International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mondelez International's future price movements. Getting to know how Mondelez International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mondelez International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HRL | Hormel Foods | 0.45 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.80 | (2.70) | 8.22 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | 0.81 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.47 | (1.43) | 4.93 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | 1.26 | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.16 | 2.57 | (2.18) | 16.32 | |
| SJM | JM Smucker | (0.59) | 6 per month | 1.07 | (0.04) | 2.38 | (1.74) | 7.43 |
Mondelez International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mondelez price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mondelez using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mondelez charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Mondelez International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mondelez International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mondelez International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mondelez International based on analysis of Mondelez International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mondelez International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mondelez International's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0196 | 0.0216 | 0.0219 | 0.0358 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.24 | 2.92 | 2.74 | 2.88 |
Story Coverage note for Mondelez International
The number of cover stories for Mondelez International depends on current market conditions and Mondelez International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mondelez International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mondelez International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mondelez International Short Properties
Mondelez International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mondelez International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mondelez International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mondelez International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mondelez International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Additional Tools for Mondelez Stock Analysis
When running Mondelez International's price analysis, check to measure Mondelez International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mondelez International is operating at the current time. Most of Mondelez International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mondelez International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mondelez International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mondelez International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.