Phillips Edison Co Stock Price Prediction

PECO Stock  USD 39.50  0.30  0.75%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Phillips Edison's stock price is about 63 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Phillips, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Phillips Edison's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Phillips Edison Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Phillips Edison hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phillips Edison Co from the perspective of Phillips Edison response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Phillips Edison to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Phillips because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Phillips Edison after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Phillips Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phillips Edison's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.6633.6143.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.7939.7340.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4538.8240.18
Details

Phillips Edison After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Phillips Edison at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Phillips Edison or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Phillips Edison, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Phillips Edison Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Phillips Edison's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Phillips Edison's historical news coverage. Phillips Edison's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.55 and 40.45, respectively. We have considered Phillips Edison's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.50
39.50
After-hype Price
40.45
Upside
Phillips Edison is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phillips Edison is based on 3 months time horizon.

Phillips Edison Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Phillips Edison is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phillips Edison backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Phillips Edison, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
0.95
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.50
39.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Phillips Edison Hype Timeline

Phillips Edison is at this time traded for 39.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Phillips is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Phillips Edison is about 3064.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.50. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Phillips Edison was at this time reported as 18.34. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 350.33. Phillips Edison last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The entity had 1:3 split on the 6th of July 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Phillips Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Phillips Edison Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Phillips Edison's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Phillips Edison's future price movements. Getting to know how Phillips Edison's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Phillips Edison may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SITCSite Centers Corp(0.04)7 per month 1.20  0.07  2.60 (2.81) 48.55 
ROICRetail Opportunity Investments 0.00 0 per month 0.49  0.08  1.93 (1.25) 9.01 
UEUrban Edge Properties(0.21)9 per month 0.83  0.03  1.78 (1.57) 4.48 
RPTRPT Realty 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NTSTNetstreit Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.81 (1.93) 7.23 
KRGKite Realty Group 0.29 8 per month 0.86 (0.03) 1.56 (1.50) 4.33 
IVTInventrust Properties Corp(0.45)10 per month 1.04 (0.03) 1.83 (1.64) 4.89 
BRXBrixmor Property 0.02 10 per month 0.70  0.02  1.94 (1.47) 4.59 
AKRAcadia Realty Trust 0.10 8 per month 0.79  0.09  1.97 (1.64) 4.62 
CBLCBL Associates Properties(0.02)8 per month 0.63  0.11  2.62 (1.29) 6.14 

Phillips Edison Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Phillips price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phillips using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phillips charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Phillips Edison Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Phillips Edison stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Phillips Edison Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Phillips Edison based on analysis of Phillips Edison hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Phillips Edison's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Phillips Edison's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Phillips Edison

The number of cover stories for Phillips Edison depends on current market conditions and Phillips Edison's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Phillips Edison is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Phillips Edison's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Phillips Edison Short Properties

Phillips Edison's future price predictability will typically decrease when Phillips Edison's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Phillips Edison Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Phillips Edison's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phillips Edison's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 M
When determining whether Phillips Edison offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Phillips Edison's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Phillips Edison Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Phillips Edison Co Stock:
Check out Phillips Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phillips Edison. If investors know Phillips will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phillips Edison listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Phillips Edison is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phillips that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phillips Edison's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phillips Edison's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phillips Edison's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phillips Edison's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phillips Edison's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phillips Edison is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phillips Edison's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.