Portman Ridge Finance Stock Price Prediction

PTMN Stock  USD 17.12  0.07  0.41%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Portman Ridge's share price is approaching 40 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Portman Ridge, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Portman Ridge's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Portman Ridge Finance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Portman Ridge's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
82.399
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.68
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6333
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6133
Wall Street Target Price
18.3333
Using Portman Ridge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Portman Ridge Finance from the perspective of Portman Ridge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Portman Ridge to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Portman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Portman Ridge after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Portman Ridge Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3519.2720.09
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.6322.6725.16
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.660.660.66
Details

Portman Ridge After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Portman Ridge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Portman Ridge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Portman Ridge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Portman Ridge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Portman Ridge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Portman Ridge's historical news coverage. Portman Ridge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.22 and 17.86, respectively. We have considered Portman Ridge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.12
17.04
After-hype Price
17.86
Upside
Portman Ridge is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Portman Ridge Finance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Portman Ridge Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Portman Ridge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Portman Ridge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Portman Ridge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
0.82
  0.01 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.12
17.04
0.06 
455.56  
Notes

Portman Ridge Hype Timeline

Portman Ridge Finance is at this time traded for 17.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Portman is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Portman Ridge is about 498.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.13. About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Portman Ridge Finance has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2024. The firm had 1:10 split on the 26th of August 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Portman Ridge Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Portman Ridge Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Portman Ridge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Portman Ridge's future price movements. Getting to know how Portman Ridge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Portman Ridge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LRFCLogan Ridge Finance(0.35)9 per month 0.61  0.11  2.65 (1.61) 12.76 
PUYIPuyi Inc ADR 0.00 1 per month 3.94  0.03  9.80 (9.58) 28.16 
CXHMFS Investment Grade 0.02 5 per month 0.40 (0.19) 0.86 (0.74) 2.10 
CBHCBH(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.48) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
EOTEaton Vance National(0.03)5 per month 0.40 (0.19) 0.86 (0.87) 2.08 
WHFWhiteHorse Finance 0.05 9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.44 (1.54) 7.36 
MRCCMonroe Capital Corp 0.01 9 per month 1.22  0.04  2.29 (1.92) 6.38 
FDUSFidus Investment Corp 0.01 7 per month 0.45 (0.01) 1.20 (0.92) 3.15 
DHILDiamond Hill Investment 2.97 9 per month 1.20 (0.02) 2.22 (2.05) 9.06 
NCVAllianzgi Convertible Income 0.11 2 per month 0.71  0.02  1.74 (1.42) 3.88 
MVFMunivest Fund 0.03 3 per month 0.65 (0.18) 0.95 (1.09) 2.81 
CXEMFS High Income(0.02)3 per month 0.54 (0.17) 1.33 (1.02) 3.34 
NSLNuveen Senior Income(0.01)6 per month 0.49 (0.17) 0.90 (1.09) 2.24 
FTFFranklin Templeton Limited(0.05)1 per month 0.39 (0.26) 0.62 (0.62) 1.82 
RFMRiverNorth Flexible Municipalome(0.04)2 per month 0.41 (0.20) 0.89 (0.76) 2.25 
KTFDWS Municipal Income(0.06)6 per month 0.48 (0.1) 1.12 (0.61) 3.40 

Portman Ridge Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Portman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Portman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Portman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Portman Ridge Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Portman Ridge stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Portman Ridge Finance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Portman Ridge based on analysis of Portman Ridge hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Portman Ridge's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Portman Ridge's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding246.9248.1445.4343.16
PTB Ratio0.750.950.810.86

Story Coverage note for Portman Ridge

The number of cover stories for Portman Ridge depends on current market conditions and Portman Ridge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Portman Ridge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Portman Ridge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Portman Ridge Short Properties

Portman Ridge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Portman Ridge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Portman Ridge Finance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Portman Ridge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Portman Ridge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.9 M
When determining whether Portman Ridge Finance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Portman Ridge's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Portman Ridge Finance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Portman Ridge Finance Stock:
Check out Portman Ridge Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Portman Ridge. If investors know Portman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Portman Ridge listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
82.399
Dividend Share
2.76
Earnings Share
0.37
Revenue Per Share
7.055
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
The market value of Portman Ridge Finance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Portman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Portman Ridge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Portman Ridge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Portman Ridge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Portman Ridge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Portman Ridge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Portman Ridge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Portman Ridge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.