Software Acquisition Group Stock Price Prediction
| SWAG Stock | USD 1.11 0.03 2.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.275 |
Using Software Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Software Acquisition Group from the perspective of Software Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Software Acquisition to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Software because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Software Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 1.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Software |
Software Acquisition After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Software Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Software Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Software Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Software Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Software Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Software Acquisition's historical news coverage. Software Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 3.85, respectively. We have considered Software Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Software Acquisition is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Software Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Software Acquisition Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Software Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Software Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Software Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.73 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.11 | 1.14 | 0.00 |
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Software Acquisition Hype Timeline
Software Acquisition is at this time traded for 1.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Software is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Software Acquisition is about 435.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.02. About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Software Acquisition had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Software Acquisition Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Software Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Software Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Software Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Software Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Software Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OTLY | Oatly Group AB | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.69 | (5.80) | 30.62 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.66 | (6.23) | 17.90 | |
| VLRS | Volaris | 0.14 | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.15 | 4.72 | (2.63) | 10.38 | |
| SDRL | Seadrill Limited | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.83 | (3.21) | 13.44 | |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group | (0.36) | 12 per month | 0.95 | 0.23 | 4.71 | (2.09) | 9.94 | |
| SAM | Boston Beer | (4.92) | 11 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 2.83 | (2.35) | 6.57 | |
| JBLU | JetBlue Airways Corp | (0.10) | 7 per month | 4.15 | 0.06 | 7.53 | (6.73) | 31.32 | |
| AWLCF | Awilco Drilling PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.56) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.54 |
Software Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Software price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Software using various technical indicators. When you analyze Software charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Software Acquisition Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Software Acquisition stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Software Acquisition Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Software Acquisition based on analysis of Software Acquisition hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Software Acquisition's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Software Acquisition's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 82.58 | 89.42 | 98.43 | 61.91 | PTB Ratio | 1.59 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
Story Coverage note for Software Acquisition
The number of cover stories for Software Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Software Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Software Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Software Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Software Acquisition Short Properties
Software Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Software Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Software Acquisition Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Software Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Software Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Software Stock analysis
When running Software Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Software Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Software Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Software Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Software Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Software Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Software Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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