Winmark Stock Price Prediction

WINA Stock  USD 407.63  2.86  0.70%   
The value of RSI of Winmark's stock price is about 62. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Winmark, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Winmark's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Winmark, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Winmark's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.65
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.94
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.09
Wall Street Target Price
445
Using Winmark hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Winmark from the perspective of Winmark response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Winmark to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Winmark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Winmark after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 408.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Winmark Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Winmark Stock refer to our How to Trade Winmark Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
383.52385.55448.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
406.67408.70410.73
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
404.95445.00493.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.023.023.02
Details

Winmark After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Winmark at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Winmark or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Winmark, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Winmark Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Winmark's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Winmark's historical news coverage. Winmark's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 406.75 and 410.81, respectively. We have considered Winmark's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
407.63
406.75
Downside
408.78
After-hype Price
410.81
Upside
Winmark is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Winmark is based on 3 months time horizon.

Winmark Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Winmark is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Winmark backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Winmark, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.01
  1.15 
  0.04 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
407.63
408.78
0.28 
42.05  
Notes

Winmark Hype Timeline

Winmark is at this time traded for 407.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Winmark is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 408.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 42.05%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Winmark is about 1080.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 407.67. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.24 M. Net Income was 40.18 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.71 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Winmark Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Winmark Stock refer to our How to Trade Winmark Stock guide.

Winmark Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Winmark's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Winmark's future price movements. Getting to know how Winmark's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Winmark may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Winmark Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Winmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Winmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Winmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Winmark Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Winmark stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Winmark, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Winmark based on analysis of Winmark hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Winmark's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Winmark's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03010.02340.02690.0227
Price To Sales Ratio17.4610.19.099.55

Story Coverage note for Winmark

The number of cover stories for Winmark depends on current market conditions and Winmark's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Winmark is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Winmark's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Winmark Short Properties

Winmark's future price predictability will typically decrease when Winmark's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Winmark often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Winmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Winmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.4 M

Complementary Tools for Winmark Stock analysis

When running Winmark's price analysis, check to measure Winmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Winmark is operating at the current time. Most of Winmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Winmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Winmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Winmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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