Affirm Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

AFRM Stock  USD 68.39  1.62  2.31%   
This module uses fundamental data of Affirm Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Affirm Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Affirm Holdings Piotroski F Score and Affirm Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.
  
At this time, Affirm Holdings' Debt Equity Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to grow to 0.07, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 15.9 M. At this time, Affirm Holdings' Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Research And Ddevelopement To Revenue is likely to grow to 0.22, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 55.33.
At this time, it appears that Affirm Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Affirm Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Affirm Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Affirm Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.52
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.78

Focus
Asset Quality

0.62

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.45

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.02

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.45

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.54

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.71

Focus

Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Affirm Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables342.6 M353 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.3 B2.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.9 B9.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets3.9 B2.5 B
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total8.1 B7.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment350.3 M333.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization177.5 M169 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative416.1 M525.3 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities180.2 M125 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total3.9 B6.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt5.9 B5.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt15.9 M16.7 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt6.9 B6.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.1 B1.1 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments69.4 M73 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.650.6362
Fairly Up
Very volatile

Affirm Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Affirm Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Affirm Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Affirm Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Affirm Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

177.5 Million

At this time, Affirm Holdings' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Affirm Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Affirm Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.0B131.0M161.9M199.2M353.0M342.6M
Total Revenue509.5M870.5M1.3B1.6B2.3B1.3B
Total Assets1.4B4.9B7.0B8.2B9.5B5.9B
Total Current Assets1.3B3.7B5.6B6.9B2.5B3.9B
Net Debt650.1M440.8M2.8B4.6B5.6B5.9B
Short Term Debt892.1M104.2M16.4M218.7M16.7M15.9M
Long Term Debt892.1M1.9B4.1B3.6B6.6B6.9B
Operating Income(75.5M)(326.5M)(796.4M)(1.2B)(615.8M)(646.6M)
Investments(253.1M)(1.0B)(2.0B)(1.5B)(1.3B)(1.4B)
Gross Profit Margin0.660.620.570.450.640.65

Affirm Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Affirm Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Affirm Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Affirm Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Affirm Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Affirm Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Affirm Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Affirm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Affirm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Affirm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Affirm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Affirm Holdings Piotroski F Score and Affirm Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affirm Holdings. If investors know Affirm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affirm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.41)
Revenue Per Share
8.055
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.407
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.17)
The market value of Affirm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affirm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affirm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affirm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affirm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affirm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affirm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affirm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affirm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.