American Homes 4 Stock Beneish M Score

AMH Stock  USD 37.69  0.60  1.57%   
This module uses fundamental data of American Homes to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. American Homes M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out American Homes Piotroski F Score and American Homes Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, American Homes' Net Debt is increasing as compared to previous years. The American Homes' current Short and Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 3.4 B, while Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to under 2.7 B. As of now, American Homes' Free Cash Flow Per Share is increasing as compared to previous years. The American Homes' current ROIC is estimated to increase to 0.03, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 7.62.
At this time, it appears that American Homes 4 is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if American Homes' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by American Homes executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of American Homes' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.65
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.14

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.53

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.95

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.75

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.95

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.61

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.51

Focus

American Homes Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if American Homes' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables29.9 M42.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue992.7 M1.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets8.2 B11.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets56.4 M59.4 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total114.3 M120.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment8.5 B13.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization393 M456.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative43.4 M74.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities2.6 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.5 B2.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt2.6 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt2.7 B4.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments128.2 M123.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments132.9 M139.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.410.5444
Way Down
Slightly volatile

American Homes 4 Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between American Homes' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards American Homes in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find American Homes' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About American Homes Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

800.32 Million

As of now, American Homes' Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

American Homes Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as American Homes. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables29.6M41.5M76.9M47.8M42.8M29.9M
Total Revenue1.1B1.2B1.3B1.5B1.6B992.7M
Total Assets9.1B9.6B11.0B12.2B11.8B8.2B
Total Current Assets395.8M469.8M450.0M597.2M59.4M56.4M
Net Debt2.8B2.7B3.8B4.4B2.4B2.6B
Short Term Debt888.5M19.2M350M130M2.5B2.6B
Long Term Debt2.8B2.8B3.5B4.4B4.4B2.7B
Operating Income243.4M237.0M291.5M338.0M352.7M370.3M
Investments2.3M98.8M33.0M97.5M(623.2M)(592.0M)

American Homes ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, American Homes' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to American Homes' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About American Homes Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Homes 4's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Homes using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Homes 4 based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether American Homes 4 offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Homes' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Homes 4 Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Homes 4 Stock:
Check out American Homes Piotroski F Score and American Homes Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Single-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Homes. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
0.96
Revenue Per Share
4.649
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
Return On Assets
0.0192
The market value of American Homes 4 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Homes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Homes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Homes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Homes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.