Amotiv Limited Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AOV Stock   5.19  0.03  0.58%   
Amotiv's odds of distress is under 21% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Amotiv balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amotiv Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

Amotiv Limited Company odds of distress Analysis

Amotiv's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Amotiv Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 21%  
Most of Amotiv's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Amotiv Limited is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Amotiv probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Amotiv odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Amotiv Limited financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amotiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amotiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amotiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Amotiv Limited has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 21.0%. This is much higher than that of the Pharmaceuticals sector and significantly higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.

Amotiv Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Amotiv's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Amotiv could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amotiv by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Amotiv is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Amotiv Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Debt(107.1M)(173.4M)(45.0M)6.0M3.1M3.3M
Total Current Liabilities350.8M114.1M105.3M141.3M114.0M96.9M
Non Current Liabilities Total39.4M39.4M44.6M87.7M84.6M88.8M
Total Assets1.3B1.0B991.9M1.1B945.5M952.1M
Total Current Assets698.2M554.6M307.3M395.6M365.1M556.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.6M(12.2M)44.6M40.5M35.9M37.7M

Amotiv Fundamentals

About Amotiv Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Amotiv Limited's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Amotiv using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amotiv Limited based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Amotiv

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Amotiv position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Amotiv will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Amotiv Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Amotiv could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Amotiv when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Amotiv - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Amotiv Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Amotiv is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Amotiv moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Amotiv Limited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Amotiv can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Amotiv Stock

Amotiv financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amotiv Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amotiv with respect to the benefits of owning Amotiv security.