Bae Systems Plc Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| BA Stock | 1,170 27.00 2.26% |
BAE | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
BAE Systems plc Company probability of distress Analysis
BAE Systems' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current BAE Systems Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 2% |
Most of BAE Systems' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, BAE Systems plc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of BAE Systems probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting BAE Systems odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of BAE Systems plc financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, BAE Systems plc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.3% lower than that of the Aerospace & Defense sector and 94.47% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United Kingdom stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.
BAE Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses BAE Systems' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of BAE Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BAE Systems by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.BAE Systems is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
BAE Systems Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Debt | 2.2B | 3.9B | 3.4B | 3.8B | 2.5B | 1.4B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 9.1B | 9.4B | 8.7B | 9.8B | 10.9B | 7.5B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 10.9B | 13.0B | 10.0B | 9.2B | 10.4B | 5.4B | |
| Total Assets | 26.0B | 27.9B | 27.1B | 31.5B | 32.1B | 18.6B | |
| Total Current Assets | 9.2B | 9.4B | 8.8B | 10.6B | 11.8B | 7.5B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 1.6B | 1.2B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 3.8B | 3.9B |
BAE Systems ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, BAE Systems' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to BAE Systems' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
BAE Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0446 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 43.84 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.01 B | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.14 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.43 % | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.20 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.47 X | ||||
| Revenue | 23.08 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 14.06 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 3.45 B | ||||
| Net Income | 1.86 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.17 B | ||||
| Total Debt | 6.48 B | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.73 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.76 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.60 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.14 X | ||||
| Target Price | 1457.24 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 100 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.32 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 36.01 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 32.06 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.02 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 830 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 32.06 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.31 |
About BAE Systems Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze BAE Systems plc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of BAE Systems using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of BAE Systems plc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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BAE Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAE with respect to the benefits of owning BAE Systems security.