Bluebird Bio Stock Beneish M Score

BLUE Stock  USD 0.42  0.01  2.44%   
This module uses fundamental data of Bluebird Bio to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Bluebird Bio M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Bluebird Bio Piotroski F Score and Bluebird Bio Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Bluebird Stock refer to our How to Trade Bluebird Stock guide.
  
At present, Bluebird Bio's Short Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Interest Debt Per Share is expected to grow to 0.15, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 181.8 M. At present, Bluebird Bio's Days Of Inventory On Hand is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is expected to grow to 6.41, whereas PTB Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.46.
At this time, it appears that Bluebird bio is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Bluebird Bio's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Bluebird Bio executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Bluebird Bio's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.99
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.75

Focus
Asset Quality

-1.04

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.55

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.02

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.55

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.4

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.48

Focus

Bluebird Bio Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Bluebird Bio's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables23.3 M22.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue41.4 M29.5 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.1 B619.2 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets267.6 M281.7 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total352.4 M337.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment351.8 M335.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And AmortizationM5.8 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative126.8 M165.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities114.3 M200.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total161.3 M224.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt106.6 M101.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Bluebird bio Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Bluebird Bio's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Bluebird Bio in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Bluebird Bio's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Bluebird Bio Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

7.97 Million

At present, Bluebird Bio's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Bluebird Bio Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Bluebird Bio. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables12.8M2.4M11.4M10.8M22.2M23.3M
Total Revenue44.7M250.7M3.7M3.6M29.5M41.4M
Total Assets1.7B1.8B593.8M554.9M619.2M1.1B
Total Current Assets1.2B1.2B336.5M199.5M281.7M267.6M
Net Debt(136.2M)(124.7M)(71.6M)168.4M193.6M203.3M
Short Term Debt20.2M9.7M46.3M88.2M101.5M106.6M
Operating Income(812.1M)(629.5M)(590.9M)(287.1M)(244.3M)(256.5M)
Investments584.1M(55.4M)475.3M250.5M155.0M162.7M
Gross Profit Margin0.960.980.93(9.61)(1.8)(0.14)

About Bluebird Bio Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Bluebird bio's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Bluebird Bio using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bluebird bio based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Bluebird bio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bluebird Bio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bluebird Bio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bluebird Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Bluebird Bio Piotroski F Score and Bluebird Bio Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Bluebird Stock refer to our How to Trade Bluebird Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluebird Bio. If investors know Bluebird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluebird Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.80)
Revenue Per Share
0.357
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.337
Return On Assets
(0.36)
Return On Equity
(1.87)
The market value of Bluebird bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluebird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluebird Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluebird Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluebird Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluebird Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluebird Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bluebird Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluebird Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.