The Baldwin Insurance Stock Beneish M Score

BWIN Stock   39.87  1.00  2.57%   
This module uses fundamental data of Baldwin Insurance to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Baldwin Insurance M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Baldwin Insurance Piotroski F Score and Baldwin Insurance Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Baldwin Insurance's Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of December 2024, Long Term Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.74, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 1.1 B. At this time, Baldwin Insurance's Capex To Operating Cash Flow is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of December 2024, PFCF Ratio is likely to grow to 81.60, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.0002.
At this time, it appears that Baldwin Insurance is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Baldwin Insurance's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Baldwin Insurance executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Baldwin Insurance's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.01
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

N/A

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.69

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.95

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.69

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

N/A

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Baldwin Insurance Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Baldwin Insurance's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables659.2 M627.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.3 B1.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.7 B3.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets524.7 M925.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.5 B2.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization93.5 M98.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative39.9 M55.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total772.2 M1.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt255.8 M243.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.1 B1.3 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term InvestmentsM1.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.260.2743
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Baldwin Insurance Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Baldwin Insurance's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Baldwin Insurance in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Baldwin Insurance's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Baldwin Insurance Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

93.48 Million

At this time, Baldwin Insurance's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Baldwin Insurance Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Baldwin Insurance. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables59.5M155.5M340.8M532.0M627.8M659.2M
Total Revenue137.8M240.9M567.3M980.7M1.2B1.3B
Total Assets40.4M4M82.5M24.1M3.5B3.7B
Total Current Assets530.1M302.0M578.4M772.4M925.9M524.7M
Non Current Assets Total403.0M1.2B2.3B2.7B2.6B1.5B
Depreciation And Amortization132.1M242.3M553.6M953.3M98.4M93.5M
Total Current Liabilities201.9M217.4M540.7M699.2M1.0B1.1B
Non Current Liabilities Total36.2M542.5M1.1B1.6B1.4B772.2M
Net Debt(67.6M)(136.7M)(210.2M)(218.0M)1.5B1.6B
Short Term Debt40.4M4M82.5M24.1M243.6M255.8M
Operating Income10.5M20.2M51.5M86.4M(42.6M)(40.4M)
Total Cash From Operating Activities12.0M36.8M40.1M(2.5M)44.6M23.7M
Gross Profit Margin0.220.190.20.180.270.26

About Baldwin Insurance Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze The Baldwin Insurance's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Baldwin Insurance using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of The Baldwin Insurance based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Baldwin Insurance

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Baldwin Insurance position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Baldwin Insurance will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Baldwin Stock

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Moving against Baldwin Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Baldwin Insurance could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Baldwin Insurance when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Baldwin Insurance - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling The Baldwin Insurance to buy it.
The correlation of Baldwin Insurance is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Baldwin Insurance moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Baldwin Insurance moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Baldwin Insurance can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Baldwin Insurance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Baldwin Insurance's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of The Baldwin Insurance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on The Baldwin Insurance Stock:
Check out Baldwin Insurance Piotroski F Score and Baldwin Insurance Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baldwin Insurance. If investors know Baldwin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baldwin Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.80)
Revenue Per Share
21.258
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
Return On Assets
0.0151
Return On Equity
(0.08)
The market value of Baldwin Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baldwin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baldwin Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baldwin Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baldwin Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baldwin Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baldwin Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baldwin Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baldwin Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.